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A united anti-Modi alliance: Sheer day dreaming or a real threat?
It appears that the so-called morcha driven by all major opposition parties against the ruling BJP missed a golden opportunity last week when two major players of the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) namely Rahul Gandhi and Mamata Banerjee failed to attend the marriage ceremony of Lalu Yadav's son.

It is pertinent to add that the friction among the major players of the UPA became even more visible when just a few days back after Rahul Gandhi announced that he was now ready to become the Prime Minister, of course, if given a chance.

This proclamation by the Congress President Rahul Gandhi came as a big shock for Mamata Banerjee who has been moblizing all the opposition parties to form a sturdy alliance against Narendra Modi. Mamata too aspires to become the prime minister of the country some day.

Sonia Gandhi during the India Today Conclave on 9th March 2018 had announced that the UPA will not permit the BJP to regain power in 2019. On paper, the formation of the UPA based on the statements given by their leaders appears quiet impressive but does it really contain any weight?

For me, and hopefully for most of the fellow citizens, the answer is simply, a big…No! One does not need to know rocket science to understand the complex equation of the proposed alliance. The following factors/issues serve as big hurdles in the path of a successful and effective anti-Modi alliance:

1.     There is not a single leader to head the alliance who could be considered universally acceptable. Although Sharad Yadav and Mulayam Singh Yadav are the senior-most leaders, the ever ambitious Mamata Banerjee has too been playing a key role in order to strengthen and form a trustworthy UPA. 

2.     There are huge differences among the alliance members owing to their own vested political interests. For example, the SP and the BSP, both part of the UPA, are otherwise arch rivals and won't tolerate if the other is extended preferential treatment.

3.     Also, the bitter experience seen by the masses in 1977 (Janata Party government) and again in 1989 (VP Singh government) really do not instil the confidence for the repeat of such experiments.

4.     The huge ego of the Congress party which is bent upon imposing Rahul Gandhi's leadership over the UPA is another major hurdle. The Congress is unlikely to compromise on the same despite Rahul Gandhi's lack of leadership skills.

5.     In the past, the BJP through its strength of the RSS cadre has given vital contributions in forming such electoral alliances but today no other political party has got the backup of such a dedicated and committed workforce. Communist parties did have an organised cadre up to some extent but they now stand sidelined by the TMC and others and are unlikely to play any substantial role in forming such an alliance.

The result of the Karnataka Assembly election will also work as a wakeup call for the BJP as these results will have a direct bearing over the outcome of the Assembly polls due in Rajasthan, MP and Chhattisgarh.

Also, the alliance partners like TDP and Shiv Sena have maintained a clear distance with the BJP which is not good for the growth and expansion of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA).

It is true that the BJP had won 282 seats out of a total of 583 in 2014 and in the last 4 years, under the Modi-Shah leadership, has formed governments in 14 new states including J&K, Assam and Tripura, but the party will have to be very cautious as the expectations of the masses are increasing day by day and a solution for the huge problems like unemployment will have to be sorted out soon.

In the meanwhile, the prediction of a good monsoon and observation of the World Bank that only India will achieve a growth rate of 7.25 per cent in the years to come has certainly come as a big relief for the BJP and Narendra Modi in particular.

Editorial NOTE: This article is categorized under Opinion Section. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of merinews.com. In case you have a opposing view, please click here to share the same in the comments section.
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