Bo Xilai: Emerging political leader of China
In the good old days when the Communist Party of China was still struggling to gain people's recognition and move into centres of power, the leadership, by and large, came from rural background and were commoners.
BO XILAI is indeed an upcoming star in the political firmamentod China. He has a good personality both outward and inward. He is six feet one inch tall which is quite good even from the American standard, what to say about the Chinese standard. As per the assessment of Ariana Eunjung Cha, Bo is likely to make the grade to jump on the central bandwagon on graduation from the rural outpost. In my opinion it is rather early in the day to make an assessment and a prediction as to who will be who in 2012 - that is two years hence. Of course, we make a five year plan so that the country and the people know where they are heading for. So, the political analysts are definitely in a position to predict who will run the show from Beijing after two years.
Commoners or princelings
In the good old days when the Communist Party of China was still struggling to gain people's recognition and move into centres of power, the leadership, by and large, came from rural background and were commoners. Mao Dzdong, who was addressed as chairman and all powerful was born in a mudbrick house in a village. By sheer dint of hard work and his approach to win over the common man, he became the most popular man. On the other hand, the Kuomintang or the Nationalist Party had leadership of elite classes and were rarely in touch with commoners. Eventually they lost power to the communists and were self-banished to Formosa or Taiwan.
In 2012 too, there is likely to be a struggle between the leaders who have a mass base and leaders who are sons of high officials of the communist party of China.
It may be difficult to predict at this stage who will become the president after replacing Hu Jintao and who will be the Prime Minister replacing Wen Jiabao. Moreover, none of the present elite may make the grade. The dark horse may emerge and seize power. In such cases, someone comes from behind the stage and grabs power by subduing the front runners. It would be bad politics to completely rule out the front runners. After all, they are the leaders who know the rank and file well. They may dig their heels and a freshman may go by the old timer's diktat.
Time alone will tell. It is rather dangerous for a New Delhi correspondent to hazard a guess about the emerging leadership in China in 2012. If anyone does so, it will be his funeral that we may attend if information reaches us.
One party rule
The People's Republic of China is a communist country and still has one party rule. It is a powerful party and has full control on the armed forces of the country. Chairman Mao said, "Power comes out of the barrel of a gun and it is the party that controls the gun. Thus it is the Communist Party of China that rules the country. It is the party that decides who will be the president and who will be the prime minister. With a view to satisfying its own conscience, the party may hold internal elections and test the strength of various individuals who aspire for higher posts in the government.
The time tested process is already in position and due process of election will commence as per schedule.
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