He is unperturbed by all European countries except France refusing to be a part of the coalition against the Assad Regime. Every member of his administration has launched a propaganda war on the American people and American Congressmen to get them to back the strike but without much success so far.
Even his fiery oratory failed to convince more than half the members of G-20 to support him in his endeavor. He has refused to commit himself to abide by the decision of the US Congress on the issue. Why is President Obama adamant about carrying out a military strike against the Assad regime in Syria in spite of strong opposition to it both at home and abroad?
Has his ego been hurt and he is acting in pique? Or is he drunk on US military power and wants to teach upstarts like President Assad a lesson? Or is he morally outraged by the death of women and children. If that is so, why is he not outraged by American drones or NATO air strikes kill women and children in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen or Iraq?
Why is he not outraged when Israeli air strikes kill women and children in Gaza? Why wasn't he apologized for the US military's use of napalm and chemical defoliaging agents in Vietnam that maimed and killed hundreds of thousands of women and children? President Obama is confident that Russia will not fight in defense of its ally, Syria.
He has good reason to be confident. America was able to bribe Russian President Gorbachov with the promise of the Nobel Peace Prize and get him to dismantle the Soviet Union. America was able to control hard drinking Russian President Boris Yeltsin with funds. They were able to keep President Medvedev quiet.
Thus America was able to wean away Russian allies like Egypt, Iraq, Libya, Serbia, Ukraine and Georgia. The only time Russia intervened militarily was in Georgia when it threatened the autonomy of Russian speaking enclaves of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. President Bush backed off.
What can Syria do?
What can Syria do if Obama goes ahead with the military strike? It can do nothing much really. It can strike at Israel but that will open another front and make it more difficult to fight the rebels. Israel is arguably the most formidable military power in the region. It has carried out air strikes on Syria without any response.
Syria can strike at Turkey but that will only add to its problems if Turkey formally joins the war on behalf of the rebels. What can Iraq do? Iraq is not a strong military power. There is a sectarian tussle going on between the Shia's and the Sunnis in the country. But there are many Shia militia's backed by Iran in Iraq, particularly in the South of the country. They can be expected to attack western interest. In the worst case scenario, Iraq can attack Kuwait, disrupt oil supplies and force the US to get involved in a ground war.
What can Iran do?
Iran has the will and the wherewithal to strike at US allies like Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE. It will definitely attempt to close the Straits of Hormuz in case of hostilities. This will mean a direct confrontation between American and Iranian forces in the Persian Gulf. America will definitely have the edge. But Iran has showed good staying power in its 10 year war with Iraq under Saddam. It will fight to the last.
What can Russia do?
Russian reaction is the key. It can directly attack the US naval forces in the Mediterranean Sea. But that is unlikely. It is more likely to re-supply Syrian regime with equipments lost to the American strikes. It may also provide Iran and Iraq with military hardware to fight the US and its allies. If the Russians decide to deploy their forces in Syria to defend Syria, it will most likely lead to a world war.
Russia and China may encourage North Korea to attack South Korea to tie down US resources in the Far East. China may also decide to attack Taiwan and Philippines. It will be a long and messy fight.
What will other Nations do?
Much of Europe including Germany depends on Russian oil and gas for their energy needs. They are likely to remain neutral. India and other South East Asian countries are also likely to remain neutral.
American intervention anywhere in the world has only spread misery and never brought peace. Obama's desire to teach President Assad a lesson with unilateral military strike is a grave threat to world peace.
Whether he will get away with it without serious consequences will depend on whether President Putin will break away from past Russian tradition, stand up and fight and defend its allies with all its might and on the reaction of Iran. May God give President Obama the wisdom to step back from the brink.