Let’s evaluate Sri Lanka first. It has typical strong sub-continental batting line up. As this match is last T20I for veteran cricketers like Mahela Jayawardhane & Kumar Sangakarra, they would gave their heart in their last match. Records show whenever Mahela or Kumar or both played their innings best, India never had surpassed them. Thus these two veterans hold key for an Sri Lankan win. From bowling point of view, technically Sri Lanka has an upper edge on paper. Spin bowlers of Sri lanka are at par with Indian spin bowlers. Pace bowling, especially Lasith Malinga is heavier than Indian pace bowling spear headed by Bhubaneswar Kumar supported by Mohit Sharma. Bhubaneswar Kumar did well in being economical in this tournament although he might be vulnerable to Sri Lanka batsman. On fielding Sri Lanka always edged out India traditionally & historically. India did excellent fielding against Australia but committed few mistakes against South Africa in semi final.
Thus honest evaluation says that Sri-Lanka pace bowling is much superior to that of Indian pace bowling, technically spin bowling of both side are equal & Sri Lanka is a far better side in fielding zone! Thus question arises whether India can win this final to achieve this rarest Grand Slam of Cricket?
Answer is yes. Logic is simple. Indian batsmen are far better player of spin in sub-continental condition. Also don’t forget the only two batsmen who play Malinga easily & even slog at whims belong to Indian team, currently part of team. The two batsmen on whom Lashit Malinga never dominated are Virat Kohli & Mahendra Singh Dhoni! One comes top of the order & another comes in lower the order. The constraint is with Sri Lanka team when to bring Malinga.
Sri Lanka is always a very challenging team & pretty consistent in entering finals. It’s also consistent in losing finals like South Africa never crossed semi-final stage! Joke’s apart, Sri Lankan team is a formidable side & if India to win this Grand Slam, it has to improve its fielding!