As it struggles to get out of the ever increasing puddle of separatist politics, the Congress party at Centre is left with lesser and lesser options after it gave its nod to a seaprate Telangana state. The only way left now is to delay this move.
THE MIDNIGHT mania of union Home minister has turned out to be an odd bouncer for his own party and its allies. His response at midnight on that day, declaring his and the government's acceptance of the Telangana issue, in order to get KCR to give up his hunger strike, has brought out several other such separatist demands from the woodworks.
If this spontenous reaction was something unexpected,the spontenous reply from the MLA's and MP's of the state was mindboggling. Post this annoucement the regional polarisation amongst the various regions of Andhra Pradesh swore to a dangerous level. Nationally, this announcement sent wrong signals to the agitators fighting on the same lines as Telengana issue. It conveyed the message that hunger strikes, hartals and voilence will get their work done.Now there are three possible outlets for the INC. One continuing the pro - Telegana stand while the second being reversing its stand and the third one being arrving to a compromise solution.Lets see the merits and demerits of each of the possiblities:
The Pro - Telengana stand would be the worst possible decision for the congress. If the party goes ahead with the division plan,its voter base and cadre base will virtually vanish in its stronghold Rayalaseema and costal regions. Further, it wont help the party's performance in Telengana region either. The solo hero of this whole "T" story is KCR and his TRS party. Hence this region will turn into TRS stronghold rather than being congress dominated one. Further, Didi and Pawar will be on their toes to bully the congress party's decision.Second one, reversing its stand, will tarnish majority of its leaderbase in the Telengana region. Split of the party into two factions is likely to follow. KCR and his men will return to their usual business of violence. BJP will finally find a strong issue to corner the congress and exploit the difference of opinion amongst the allies of UPA.The last possiblity will be a delay tactic. Indian history depicts numerous instances where this stratergy has worked. But how would they do so?Better luck next time Home minister!
.If Telangana happens No TRS exists, it will be congress
In Andhra / Rayalaseema, Congress may take a hit for sometime but its not going anywhere, local congress MLAs are strong enough to win back enough seats for congress
I think we must follow keenly the united andhra agitation and then analyse how many of the andhra and seema leaders will continue in the party if the division takes place.Those who have hogged the limelight via resignations wont be able to retain peoples faith if they continue in the same party post the seperation of telengana