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Decimation of BJP in Delhi elections: Why, how and who should be held responsible for it
February 10th, 2015 will be considered as a historic day in Delhi state history, where a less than three year old party swept the assembly polls winning 67 seats out of 70 while contesting against two major national parties, BJP and the Congress. This can be considered as a wave. Call it APP's wave or Kejriwal's wave, it's a positive (pro) wave seen after very long period.

BJP's success in 2014 Lok Sabha elections was the result of an anti-UPA wave whereas Delhi assembly election is a pro-AAP wave which uprooted many strong leaders including two CM candidates, Ajay Maken and Kiran Bedi.

The technical justification of this result is simple. Although, BJP managed to maintain 2013 votes-share (33%) but AAP has got Congress and all other party's vote share to achieve this landslide victory. The Congress was able to manage some 8-9% vote share while rest went below one per cent except BSP which got some 1.3% of vote share. A triangular contest virtually became a bipolar contest between AAP and BJP?

Is this technical justification sufficient excuse? I don't think so. BJP is not defeated here, rather completely decimated by just getting 3 seats and not qualified even for LOP's post! What would be other reasons? Was it a blunder to bring Bedi as a CM candidate? Has internal party dissent sabotaged BJP's prospects? Is Delhi Municipal Corporations' incumbency a reason? Is it the too much of negativity in BJP's campaign that costed it dearly?

All these questions would have relevance had there been a close contest. After such type of decimation, finger points at only one person and that is Narendra Modi. Is the Delhi assembly election an indication that Modi impact is losing its shin. In fact Modi was never an impact in polls where there was a non-Congress party as opponent. Odisha, Tamil Nadu, Bengal are the examples. But Delhi's case is different. Modi impact couldn't enhance the increase of 7-8% vote this time.

In Lok Sabha elections BJP had got around 47% vote share in Delhi. To that effect BJP lost around 14% votes this time. Narendra Modi needs to think seriously and do some introspection. If one says Delhi BJP unit was not united then it's also Modi's failure to infuse motivation and excitement among party leaders and cadres. If you can't impress your party people how can you impress the voters?

Kiran Bedi was handpicked and fielded from BJP's safest constituency still she lost. I don't think Kiran Bedi lost here. She is just 20 days old politician. In fact in Krishna Nagar, Narendra Modi has lost. Delhi is a city state and AAP has no influence beyond Delhi. 

If BJP thinks that this defeat has nothing to do with upcoming election, then they are doing serious mistakes. BJP in general and Modi in particular must realize that NaMo impact is becoming weak. If NaMo brand becomes weak, BJP would find it tough to contest elections.

What happened in these eight months? Everyone was confident that Modi is working round the clock in national interest. But fact is also there that nothing is visible at the ground now. Neither employment was generated nor the economical conditions were improved. Inflation though reduced but it is still pinching people.

Arrogance of BJP leaders was at a very high level. Further the fringe groups damaged the image of BJP. What surprised many was the deafening silence of Narendra Modi. Modi never talked about controlling these elements but he acts swiftly.

Message is loud and clear. Narendra Modi needs to awake and free himself from over confidence. He should publicly take ownership of this decimation in Delhi. Hope Modi will do necessary course correction. Indian voters always trust in giving huge mandate. But when they think that any party or a leader is overconfident and taking voters for granted, then voters also give shock treatment. Delhi verdict is simply a shock treatment to Modi.

As far as the Congress is concerned, it's dead today in Delhi's polity. Delhi is added to the list of the states where the Congress ceded its space to a regional party.

Editorial NOTE: This article is categorized under Opinion Section. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of merinews.com. In case you have a opposing view, please click here to share the same in the comments section.
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