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Delhi Assembly Elections: AAP has an impact and became threat to BJP and Congress
In last three days number of pre-election opinion polls came regarding probable verdict of Delhi Assembly Elections. Interestingly every opinion poll gave contrasting results. Some hold BJP as a clear winner, some say Congress leads to majority and even some see AAP forming the government. Some opinion polls are suggesting a hung assembly in the state with either Congress as the largest party or BJP getting more numbers though not able to cross the half way mark. This means AAP is going to be the spoiler.

Opinion polls or exit polls in India  are not yet able to give exact mood of the nation like western countries. This might be because of lot of diversity in India and lot of variables, hence no theory or model is sacrosanct. It might also be said that prediction of the poll result from a sample size in India is at very elementary stage.

Poll
Should there be re-elections in Delhi?
Yes :
48.72 %
No :
51.28 %
Can't say :
0 %
Sponsored By :
But then, all opinion polls generally give a verdict more or less the same way. For example, for MP, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, almost all opinion polls suggests BJP's victory, (Though some are doubtful on BJP's clear win at Chhattisgarh, but didn't rule out). But in case of Delhi, everyone's estimate doesn't match at all. Interestingly being a very small state, everybody should find a better, more accurate and same estimate!

When these pollsters are confused, people of Delhi too don't have any clue as to who would win. I am not here to predict who will win or who should win. But my point is simple that, such confusion in Delhi is due to rise of AAP.

AAP, with in a very less period caught many people's imagination. The ignored class of people, who saw all politicians dirty, gets an alternative in the form of AAP that is very different from traditional political parties. There are dark areas, such as Arvind Kejriwal's provoking comments, party worker's extra arrogance and too much hype. But still they are acceptable by the group of people  who dislike traditional politics.

AAP too suffered some setbacks in the form an sting operation against some of the party candidates, an old CD of Anna that has been leaked; controversial poll survey showing AAP's victory on 38-50 seats etc. But still one thing must be praised that within months AAP has made itself a threat to both the national parties. Sheila Dikshit once openly declared for a post-poll alliance with AAP (though later back-tracked) and the star campaigner Narendra Modi too attacked AAP. This proves that AAP at least has earnd a place of contender in Delhi Assembly Elections.

I am not so optimistic that AAP will form government in Delhi, though nothing can be ruled out in Indian elections. But it gives a good feeling that a party being different from conventional politics making an impact. This will definitely motivate people from other section to join electoral politics as the myth that only established and organized with experience of years can survive in this electoral politics.

It would be very difficult to predict what would be AAP's tally in this election. But it can be said safely, that if AAP gets at least 15% of votes, then it's going to be a major player during 2014 general elections. Because, this would motivate people that electoral success can be achieved by ordinary people through activism. Sizable mass that always think that there should be change/reform in electoral politics will start joining/supporting the party.

AAP also would quickly correct some of their fickle acts and over excitement post election when they start analyzing their campaign. As a new party, its errors are forgettable and forgivable. The spirit appears to be there to correct them. Thus they may not form a government in Delhi or even in general elections 2014, but they can be a major player that can represent the assertion of general public to do necessary reforms! These are the expectations and let's see what and how AAP delivers.

Editorial NOTE: This article is categorized under Opinion Section. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of merinews.com. In case you have a opposing view, please click here to share the same in the comments section.
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