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Despite all the rhetoric & warmongering China will not dare to go to war with India!
Post the Ladakh skirmish that involved stone pelting by both Indian and Chinese soldiers, questions are being raised whether China is looking to push Indian soldiers in the border areas where it has geographical supremacy because in Doklam India enjoys a strategic advantage.

According to some analysts, Doklam has become a matter of prestige for Xi Jinping who is the strongest ever Chinese premier after Mao. India's blunt refusal to be part of 'Belt and Road initiative', objection to CPEC and Doklam defiance have tarnished Xi's image back home in China. Thus, the Communist Nation is not in a position to withdraw from Doklam.

Although, the Narendra Modi government is tight lipped on the unremitting tensions between India and China, India is also not likely to cede ground at any cost. So, there is every possibility of a military escalation across the border.

Chinese observers are assessing that India is still very weak in other parts of the border like Ladakh and Arunachal Pradesh, where China had attacked during the 1962 War. So, if China decides to attack from there, India is likely to lose a vast territory meekly surrendering against the Chinese might.

However, many experts in India don't agree that China would make such a move. According to some Indian army veterans, Indian army of 2017 is much more professional, capable, skilful and war-ready in comparison to the Chinese army. Numbers always don't matter, what matter more are the geographical conditions, capabilities of soldiers, supply lines and a strong political leadership.

Many Indian military experts believe that the Indian army could have even won the 1962 Indo-China War despite a lapse in strengthening the supply lines if the Indian Air Force had been deployed. It's unknown why the Nehru government was reluctant to use the Indian Air Force during the war as it was much stronger than the Chinese Air Force of 1962.

Even today, the Indian Air Force is much better equipped than the Chinese Air Force to fight in the Himalayan region between India and China. Indian Air Force has sufficient war planes that are light, effectively manoeuvrable in the mountainous Himalayan terrain. Hence, the Indian army backed by the Indian Air Force would be a force to reckon with.

Furthermore, whenever an escalation takes place, India will almost certainly put its navy into action. Again, the Indian Navy is in an advantageous position in the Bay of Bengal and Indian Ocean. India can easily block the Strait of Malacca through which China imports its 80 per cent petroleum and other products. The Strait of Malacca is just 1.7 km wide and perhaps the only way to enter in to South China Sea. Thus, India would be in a very advantageous position if there's a war between India and China. However, any war would be damaging for both the warring nations as it also comes with its economical consequences. Many say that China has just 22 billion dollars worth of trade with India, a loss which China can easily bear. But then, India also can manage without Chinese products.

However, what will go very wrong for China are the political ramifications if India is able to contain Chinese aggression. China has border disputes with over twenty nations and it keeps bullying all of them. It is more or less expected that if India takes on China, all those nations will stand behind India. Japan, South Korea, Australia and USA have anyways backed India against China. If India is compelled to go on war against China, even NATO would be ready to extend all types of cooperation required to clip the wings of China. Russia might have close ties with China but at the same time it's also an old ally of India and will never stand against India at any cost. Thus, China will be literally isolated.

That's why; a war with India would be like Waterloo for China.

China at the moment is in a precarious situation. On one hand it is urging the United States to initiate dialogue with North Korea and on the other hand it's making cries of war against India.

Except for the sole exception of 1962, China hasn't won any war, be it against India (1967, Nathu La and Cho La) or Vietnam (1979). However, India has defeated Pakistan in the wars of 1965, 1971 and 1999 and also China in the 1967 War. Most important was the 1999 Kargil War where Indian soldiers defeated the Pakistanis despite being in a disadvantageous position (Indian soldiers were not permitted to cross the LOC and had to tackle the enemy who was occupying hilltops from the foothills). The Kargil War brought Indian army admiration from across the world. The point to be remembered is that the Indo-China border is hundred per cent mountainous (Himalayas) with almost eight per cent of the terrain providing strategic advantage to India.

Hence, despite all the rhetoric and warmongering being served hot to the world by Global Times – China's state-owned media – the real thinkers within the government of China will definitely advice Xi Jinping not to go on a war with India.

Editorial NOTE: This article is categorized under Opinion Section. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of merinews.com. In case you have a opposing view, please click here to share the same in the comments section.
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