Indo-China need strong relations for mutual benefit
China had adopted a policy of encouraging zone of discontent among its Asian competitors to boost its economy in view of the global meltdown. But the observers say India and China must adhere to the Russian proposal for a long term agreement among the thr
INDIA HAS many important issues to discuss with China when Prime Minister Manmohan Singh meets his counter part Wen Jibao on the sidelines of ASEAN and East Asia summits at Thai beach resort of Hua Hin today.
Apart from the disputes over border, Arunachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, construction of seismic centers and dams in Tibet, the two leaders must discuss a joint strategy to fight together several international issues for mutual benefit.
Observers of Sino-Indian relations feel that in view of the global economic meltdown China has recently changed its economic and political policies, which may affect India. “For more than two decades, China's Communist Party has used economic reforms as a source of legitimacy for its rule. Accordingly they went for a vigorous economic policy, which boosted their exports. But if a decline in growth slows the rate of economic reforms, it could threaten the party,” they pointed out.
China also went ahead with its dumping policy and it was often accused of dumping counterfeit products of reputed companies in several parts of the world. The recent seizure of counterfeit baby foods and consumer goods in an Indian port only confirms the Chinese design.
They quoted a recent report and said China might face massive social unrest if its annual growth rate falls below 8 percent, a level of growth inadequate to generate more employment required to tide over the present crisis. "But if China's downturn turns into an outright recession, the country could face its first serious threat to the regime," they quoted the report as saying.
"This is the first serious slowdown for China in thirty years and the government knows that to maintain social stability, it must keep generating employment for those migrating from rural to urban areas,” they said.
But mere announcement of a massive stimulant package to sustain its economic and social stability by "transforming the economic growth pattern, restructuring the economy, attaching more importance to agriculture, and taking regulatory measures" may not be sufficient to overcome the crisis and China may need a vigorous export policy to tide over the slowdown, the observers feel.
“A slowdown in exports contributed to the closing of at least 67,000 factories (NYT) across China in the first half of 2008, prompting laid-off workers to take to the streets in protest,” they quoted report as saying.
“Against such a backdrop and the stiff competition from other Asian countries, China recently changed its policy, which speaks about keeping these countries more busy in domestic discontents than putting vigorous efforts to boost their exports,” they pointed out.
The observers said China might wash off its hands from the content of a website, which speaks of a design of fragmenting India with the help of rebel forces in the sub-continent, but India could not afford to ignore such threats.
Reports collected by different intelligence agencies say there are enough indications of such a design from the activities of a number of divisive and terrorist groups operating in the sub-continent.
According to an intelligence report, a document recently placed before the Chinese Parliament showed, among other things, 22 zones of discontent in India. Of these 22 zones, Maoists are very active in 14 areas.
Intelligence agencies said China could neither deny the fact that it had been arming some of the Indian insurgents groups like the NSCN and the ULFA nor shrug off its responsibility to prevent trafficking of Chinese arms and ammunition from Pakistan and Myanmar to Indian terrorist groups. China is one of the official suppliers of arms and ammunition to Pakistan and Myanmar.
The NSCN and the ULFA have close links with the Pakistani intelligence agency ISI, a number of terrorist groups like Al Qaeda, Laskar-e-Toiba, HuJI and the LTTE. The ULFA has also set up links with the Maoists of both Nepal and India.
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A senior intelligence official said the content of fragmentation design in Chinese website had lots of similarities with the plans of Indian Maoists, the greatest threat to the country’s internal security. In recent interviews with several media the leaders of the Indian Maoist groups said they had plan to create independent countries with each states of India like Assam, Bengal and Bihar.
On the other hand, the official said, the Maoists of Nepal, under the leadership of former Prime Minister Prachanda, had accused India of interfering with the internal matters of Nepal and announced their plans to seek help from China in realizing their goal.
He said the entire design worked out by the ISI and supported by a section Chinese officials aimed at weakening India by encouraging divisive and terrorist groups.
Ruling out a major conflict with China, the observers, however, said while thwarting this design India should also made a serious effort to improve its relations with China. China should also reciprocate the Indian move.
In this context, they also underscored the need for seriously considering the Russian proposal for strengthening the bonds among India, China and Russia to strive off any international challenge.
Former Russian President Putin had been strongly advocating long term agreements among Russia, India and China, almost in the line of Indo-Russian Agreement, to overcome any challenges, the three countries might face.
“ Such agreements will not only resolve all bilateral disputes but also help the three nations to overcome all challenges and unite the developing countries against all onslaughts,” the observers added.
Observers of Sino-Indian relations feel that in view of the global economic meltdown China has recently changed its economic and political policies, which may affect India. “For more than two decades, China's Communist Party has used economic reforms as a source of legitimacy for its rule. Accordingly they went for a vigorous economic policy, which boosted their exports. But if a decline in growth slows the rate of economic reforms, it could threaten the party,” they pointed out.
China also went ahead with its dumping policy and it was often accused of dumping counterfeit products of reputed companies in several parts of the world. The recent seizure of counterfeit baby foods and consumer goods in an Indian port only confirms the Chinese design.
They quoted a recent report and said China might face massive social unrest if its annual growth rate falls below 8 percent, a level of growth inadequate to generate more employment required to tide over the present crisis. "But if China's downturn turns into an outright recession, the country could face its first serious threat to the regime," they quoted the report as saying.
"This is the first serious slowdown for China in thirty years and the government knows that to maintain social stability, it must keep generating employment for those migrating from rural to urban areas,” they said.
But mere announcement of a massive stimulant package to sustain its economic and social stability by "transforming the economic growth pattern, restructuring the economy, attaching more importance to agriculture, and taking regulatory measures" may not be sufficient to overcome the crisis and China may need a vigorous export policy to tide over the slowdown, the observers feel.
“A slowdown in exports contributed to the closing of at least 67,000 factories (NYT) across China in the first half of 2008, prompting laid-off workers to take to the streets in protest,” they quoted report as saying.
“Against such a backdrop and the stiff competition from other Asian countries, China recently changed its policy, which speaks about keeping these countries more busy in domestic discontents than putting vigorous efforts to boost their exports,” they pointed out.
The observers said China might wash off its hands from the content of a website, which speaks of a design of fragmenting India with the help of rebel forces in the sub-continent, but India could not afford to ignore such threats.
Reports collected by different intelligence agencies say there are enough indications of such a design from the activities of a number of divisive and terrorist groups operating in the sub-continent.
According to an intelligence report, a document recently placed before the Chinese Parliament showed, among other things, 22 zones of discontent in India. Of these 22 zones, Maoists are very active in 14 areas.
Intelligence agencies said China could neither deny the fact that it had been arming some of the Indian insurgents groups like the NSCN and the ULFA nor shrug off its responsibility to prevent trafficking of Chinese arms and ammunition from Pakistan and Myanmar to Indian terrorist groups. China is one of the official suppliers of arms and ammunition to Pakistan and Myanmar.
The NSCN and the ULFA have close links with the Pakistani intelligence agency ISI, a number of terrorist groups like Al Qaeda, Laskar-e-Toiba, HuJI and the LTTE. The ULFA has also set up links with the Maoists of both Nepal and India.
.
A senior intelligence official said the content of fragmentation design in Chinese website had lots of similarities with the plans of Indian Maoists, the greatest threat to the country’s internal security. In recent interviews with several media the leaders of the Indian Maoist groups said they had plan to create independent countries with each states of India like Assam, Bengal and Bihar.
On the other hand, the official said, the Maoists of Nepal, under the leadership of former Prime Minister Prachanda, had accused India of interfering with the internal matters of Nepal and announced their plans to seek help from China in realizing their goal.
He said the entire design worked out by the ISI and supported by a section Chinese officials aimed at weakening India by encouraging divisive and terrorist groups.
Ruling out a major conflict with China, the observers, however, said while thwarting this design India should also made a serious effort to improve its relations with China. China should also reciprocate the Indian move.
In this context, they also underscored the need for seriously considering the Russian proposal for strengthening the bonds among India, China and Russia to strive off any international challenge.
Former Russian President Putin had been strongly advocating long term agreements among Russia, India and China, almost in the line of Indo-Russian Agreement, to overcome any challenges, the three countries might face.
“ Such agreements will not only resolve all bilateral disputes but also help the three nations to overcome all challenges and unite the developing countries against all onslaughts,” the observers added.
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