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Karnataka Assembly election 2018: It seems the JD(S) crashed BJP's party
Although the BJP finished as the single largest party in the Karnataka Assembly election, it missed getting a majority just by a whisker. The BJP which ended up winning 104 seats fell short by just 7 seats as the magic figure for complete majority is 111.

The result is not surprising as the mathematics is quite simple. The BJP has core presence in 120 seats from where it drew 92 per cent of votes. Additionally, it has some base in 45 seats from where it got its balance votes. Similarly, out of 59 seats the JD(S) has its core vote banks in 25 seats and in rest of the 24 seats it has some presence. On the other hand the Congress has presence in almost all the 224 seats. That's why BJP's vote share to seat conversion ratio is higher followed by the JD(S) compared to Congress' seat conversion rate.

Please refer my article 'Karnataka assembly election 2018- A preview' published on 28th March 2018 in this platform. I had asserted in the article that although the BJP had an edge, the performance of both the BJP and the Congress would depend on how JD(S) performed. Had the JD(S) performed better, the Congress had a chance and if JD(S) performed poorly then the BJP had a chance. Narendra Modi's campaign no doubt hampered Congress' prospects increasing BJP's prospects but then to get majority out of only 120 core seats is no mean feat. The BJP should have won some seats from JD(S) dominated areas.

JD(S) didn't perform well, but then, it didn't perform poorly either. In fact the party lost just 2 seats in comparison to 2013. While the Congress fared well in JD(S) strongholds, the JD(S) swept in Kaveri affected zones chipping away at both the BJP and Congress' seats. JD(S) got around 27 seats there.

Some experts are also saying that there was a secret understanding between the BJP and the JD(S) to counter Siddaramaiah's strategy. They intentionally fielded weak candidates in Congress' strongholds so as to checkmate Congress. In this process JD(S) became the beneficiary whereas the BJP didn't get any advantage.

Now the dirty game of politics has started in Karnataka no one knows who will form the next government and for what duration it will last.

Editorial NOTE: This article is categorized under Opinion Section. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of In case you have a opposing view, please click here to share the same in the comments section.
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