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Mamata-CBI face off: It's a win-win for both Mamata & Modi
"Is there any political significance in Bengal after the CBI-Mamata standoff?," a friend asked me. I answered that it was a win-win for both the Mamata-led TMC and Narendra Modi-led BJP. My friend couldn't comprehend what I meant, so I'm explaining as below.

Post the CBI verdict it's clear that Mamata's claim of 'moral victory' doesn't carry any merit. The Kolkata Police Commissioner has to face the CBI and that to outside Bengal (at Shillong and Meghalaya). Then, the SC also initiated contempt case issuing notice to Chief Secretary, DGP and Kolkata Police Commissioner. Thus clearly, Mamata's 'Satyagraha' failed although one reprieve is that Rajeev Kumar will not be arrested. In any case CBI never asked for arrest and only wanted Rajeev Kumar's attendance for questioning.

Some may argue that the way all opposition parties including the Congress supported and stood behind Mamata Banerjee, it's a great political achievement for her towards her ambition as Prime Minister. The point is whether Mamata Banerjee had any such ambition. No sane politician wants to be another HD Devegowda – a PM for a short period and no office then after. Thus, I don't think Mamata Banerjee's political drama has anything to do with her prime ministerial ambition.

But I say it is an important political win for Mamata Banerjee. She revolted to support a police officer which means that Mamata won Bengal polices' confidence making them turn against the Centre. Mamata knew very well that the Bengal police will be under the Election Commission in a month's time. It doesn't matter whether the police force works under EC or any other agency if it has a soft corner for Mamata as they can be very useful during the polls. If the Bengal police and TMC cadre collude, even the EC won't be able stop the riggings. That's a great achievement for Mamata Banerjee.

How is the BJP benefitted? Not to forget that the Left had a grand rally on Saturday at Brigade ground. But this faceoff between Mamata and CBI (or say Narendra Modi) side-lined that rally and divided Bengal in to two parts. One is pro-Mamata and the other is anti-Mamata. For the anti-Mamata group, the BJP is the only rallying point because of confused stand of both the Left and the Congress. When the state Congress and Left leaders opposed Mamata's circus and demanded president's rule, the central leaders of the Left and the Congress blamed the BJP and Narendra Modi.

The point to be noted is that in various surveys it's known that both Narendra Modi and Mamata Banerjee are popular. According to C-voter, nearly 55 per cent people of Bengal are satisfied with Modi as PM whereas 46 per cent are satisfied with Mamata as the CM. Thus, there's a bipolar contest now. The BJP has eaten up vote shares of both the Congress and is nearing to around 40 per cent vote share. Even if the BJP matches the vote share of Mamata Banerjee, the police and the TMC cadre will make it advantage Mamata. On the other hand the BJP might get seats at the cost of Congress and the Left.

That's why I say this is a win-win situation for both the BJP and the TMC in decimating the Congress and the CP(M). As for Sharadha, Rose Valley and other chit fund scams, they can be left to the SC and the CBI. In any case, corruption has never been a decisive factor in elections in India.

Editorial NOTE: This article is categorized under Opinion Section. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of In case you have a opposing view, please click here to share the same in the comments section.
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