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Narendra Modi led-BJP to register a thumping victory in Gujarat: Exit polls
The Gujarat assembly elections are over. The victory sign flashed by Narendra Modi soon after he cast his vote might also turn out to be symbolic for the BJP. The results of the various exit polls have been encouraging news for the BJP leadership, both at the national and state level - and it seems that the people of Gujarat have again shown confidence in Modi and the BJP.

BOTH THE first and the second phase of Gujarat assembly elections saw a record turnout of 70% voters. The major exit polls of various media organizations, held after the completion of the second phase, indicate that Chief Minister Narendra Modi might score a hat-trick as the Gujarat chief minister.

In 2007 assembly elections, the BJP had got 117 seats while the Congress managed to get 59 seats. Exit polls suggest that this year the BJP may win more seats, and Congress might loose more.

Poll surveying agency C-Voter has given 124 seats to Modi-led BJP and 54 seats to the Congress out of the total 182 seats. The Ananda Bazar Patrika-AC Nielsen survey gave 116 seats to the BJP and 60 seats to the Congress. The exit poll done by News 24-Today's Chanakya predicts a much higher 140 seats for the BJP and 40 seats for the Congress. A survey by Headlines Today-ORG says that BJP will get somewhere between 118-128 seats in this election. The post-poll survey conducted by CSDS for CNN-IBN and The Week for the first phase shows that Modi's leadership will get around 53-63 seats out of the total 87. However, the Congress may win only 19-27 seats.

The data of the five exit polls, if assumed indicative, point out that Narendra Modi might again trump Keshubhai Patel, Shankar Singh Vaghela, and the combined effort of Sonia Gandhi or Rahul Gandhi while canvassing for the Congress in Gujarat. If Modi wins, it will mean that many people of the state support Modi's rule and record of governance and want him to lead them for the next five years.

The Gujarat Parivartan Party formed by ex-BJP leader and chief minister Keshubhai Patel was thought to be a major hurdle in the way of the third term for Modi. However, the exit poll indicate that he might have failed to create much impact.

Political analyst and professor of political science at Delhi University Dr. Ashok Acharya says that the accusations of non-development against Modi were politically orchestrated. “This is the season of elections and people will say all sorts of things. Most of the people will not believe and some may also believe. The charges of non-development should have been made earlier and there should have been clear evidence,” Dr. Ashok Acharya told this citizen journalist.

Dr. Acharya said Modi will win but there will be no clean sweep, and when the real results will be out there would be some surprises on the front of Keshubhai Patel. “All indications like the exit polls and even otherwise say that Modi will win the elections in Gujarat. But I think there will be some pocket of resistance, there will be no clean sweep,” added Dr. Acharya.

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