Similar situation is in this election too. Naveen Patnaik broke alliance with the Left front and gone alone. He has alliance with the Left party in 2009. This time also voter turn out crossed 70% and BJP votes were in an upswing. I wouldn’t say BJD was complacent at the ground this time, but would definitely say, that BJD lacked strategy and strategist. One can refer to my article ‘Shouldn’t Navin Patnaik start worrying about upcoming general and assembly election’ published on 13th February 2014 on this platform, where I unearthed lack of strategy and strategists in the party made them to face lose of one Rajya Sabha seat.
In the assembly elections too, BJD totally depended on Naveen Patnaik’s popularity and his rallies. No field strategy was visible. Rather, one would astonish to see two Rajya Sabha members contesting assembly elections. Most ridiculous is A.U. Singh Deo won the Rajya Sabha election of February 2014, but instead of taking oath at Rajya Sabha he again contested assembly election!
Many candidates too were not happy because of their transfer from their constituency to other constituency. Apart from the above, long time enjoying power has its own disadvantage. The insiders too may did some damage for selfish interest. Thus none is sure as to what would be the result.
According to me, BJP doesn’t has a strong organization to get majority in Odisha. Thus despite Modi's wave, the party has no chance to get majority. On the other hand the Congress too became very weak, although its core vote bank remains intact. Thus Congress too is not in a position to get simple majority like it got during 1995. The additional votes including some of BJD votes had gone only to BJP. Thus no doubt BJD would be the largest party in Odisha assembly, but yes I wouldn’t be surprised if there would be a hung verdict in Odisha!