Opinion polls reflect NaMo as favourite for PM seat but needs to maintain consistency
Mostly all opinion polls show Narendra Modi as the popular choice for PM all over India including regions where BJP as a party has no ground. This is really amazing and appears to be a wave throughout the country in favour of Modi. Although opinion poll numbers may change even a day before the election, but such polls sometimes present the mood of the people during a particular time.
According to HT-C voter election tracker, Modi is the popular choice of UP with 48 per cent approval whereas Mulayam Singh with 19 per cent stands second followed by Mayawati with 11 per cent. At the same time on popular choice of CM in UP, Mayawati is well ahead with 28 per cent approval followed by Akhilesh with around 20 per cent whereas BJP’s Kalyan
Singh trails with 7 per cent followed by Rajanath Singh with 6 per cent. That means Modi has substantial impact on public opinion.
In state polity where there is no Modi, BJP is trailing but for central polity in the presence of Modi, BJP is substantially ahead, which means with the emergence of Modi individualistic identity politics resurfaced. Further it is also noted that anti-Modi votes are not being consolidated at the moment, which other parties and experts expected. Since Modi’s anointment, it was expected that Modi would do a majority polarization as a result of which there would be an anti-Modi minority (read Muslims) consolidation. This is not happening till now.
Noted journalist Javed Ansari is of the opinion that such consolidation is not done because Modi has avoided all controversial issues in his speeches and stuck to development issues only. He looks more credible in progress oriented politics than any type of divisive politics at the moment.
Javed is very right if one looks into Modi's speeches. All so claimed secular parties always claim that Modi would spit communal venom, divide the society and country. But Modi always speaks for development, growth, skill enhancement and other development plans. He talked on communal violence and riot only on two occasions that too in a positive way.
In Patna, he was very sensible while suggesting Hindu and Muslims should fight jointly against common enemy of poverty. Also he commandingly requested all for maintaining peace despite the bomb blasts during his rally. Had he proactively spoke so and wanted to play a communal Card, Bihar would had been subject to a harsher riot during that period. This speaks his sense of responsibility as well.
In the Meerut rally too, he spoke on riot, rather commitment for riot-free India. On the contrary, the so called secular parties always covertly or overtly always refer to the communal card. They try to rake up Godhra riots and all other sensible issues, which can provoke sentiments. The Aseemanand tape alleging RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat’s hand in terror act is such a conspiracy to provoke people. Luckily both advocate of Aseemanand and NIA rejected this claim immediately.
That’s why Modi perhaps caught the imagination of the general public. However the road ahead is very difficult for him. But, if he keeps up such momentum without trying for any dirty and manipulative tricks, then I think he may achieve his goal.
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