Sure, many minorities, particularly Muslims, in India fear the rise of the BJP and they may have genuine reasons to have apprehensions about Modi-led NDA taking power in New Delhi, but still all should remember that the INC-led UPA is in power for almost a decade and its rule is plagued and rigged by corruption, inflation, misrule and mis-administration.
Isn’t a decade too much in modern times for a party or a coalition to rule over as big country as India is? And also can all problems of the INC be blamed on its first family? The answer to the first question is that 'normal' have changed in national and global politics and the INC and its sympathizers should not remember the good old monopolistic days of Indian politics, which lasted till the late eighties.
The fact is that the two terms are too big a time that even anti-incumbency can become a huge factor in deciding the fate of ruling political party or alliance. The same is true with the UPA. Moreover, the incumbent to the 7 Race Course is very unpopular. Also, there is perceptible and measurable pro-Modi wave in many parts of India.
The answer to the second question is very simple to find out. Sure, the first family cannot be exclusively blamed, though it must share the blame maximum, for all debacles and losses of the INC. Mr. Gandhi is very young and he can revive back rather easily. There is no point in writing his obituaries.
Now as far as Western objections as outlined in opinions published in the Wall Street Journal and the NYT and many others, is concerned, the fact is that the US-led West shall have to forget its usual habit of wishing, putting people of its choice in the non-West governments. The fact is despite of bad portrayal India is no banana democracy. Whether Mr. Modi becomes its Prime Minister or someone else is a matter to be decided by the large Indian electorates.
There is not much point in taking side. Sure, Mr. Modi if he becomes the Prime Minister of India, cannot act on vengeance as he has little support outside the Indian community in the West. Neither any big one in India would support Mr. Modi taking on the West head-on. It does not mean that the Western media should always act as lobbyists. Now, if they lobby for Western interests then it is partly okay but still they should be clear about remaining neutral and non-partisan.
There is a sense of fear, which is partly legitimate, that Mr. Modi may espouse conservative economic policies as compared to his predecessor in the 7 Race Course. May be it is true but portraying him as negative character in the West would not help the cause either. A broad, comprehensive and meaningful communication can do. But then one has to follow proper protocol.
To be honest to everyone, BJP has promised that it would not open up India’s retail sector to foreign retail bigwigs. This may be a cause of concern to many and the foreign institutional investors’ fears may not be completely unfounded. But all need to know and Americans do know it best that India is second producer and despite of it having proven ability to convert its secondary powers to primary ones, the fact is that it will always be dependent on the US-led West for capital and technology for any time that can be conceived at this moment.
Fine, if my argument is correct, which is the case here, then Indian elites and Indian state to a large extent depend on Westerners for prosperity and productivity. Now as all societies have rules, so does India. As such elites of all non-Western societies look for equality with Western elites and this is particularly true about Indian society. This demand becomes more urgent in India because of its age-old caste system.
Now by any standards, Mr. Modi is one of the biggest political elites in India and he would definitely look for equality with his peers, should he become the Prime Minister of India. Sure, all would adapt to that situation if and when it happens.
But, in their interests the West should stop taking overt side of the INC. The onus of keeping good relationship lies with both sides. In case of India, it depends as much on the White House as it depends on the 7 Race Course. The West when it knows that India has compulsions to cooperate with it, should also know that it also gets hugely benefited while interacting with India. The trade, commerce and interactions of all sorts are mutually beneficial.
Now if the INC is almost sure to loose then what is the point in betting over it. On this account, the West should abandon ideology and should care about its interests. Sure, it is not a bipolar contest in India, and therefore, the next government in New Delhi could very well be supported by the INC. But anyway, at all cost, the West should stop itself from becoming stereotyped.
The fact is that the BJP is not a simple party as per Asian standards and it will never accept undue and not-so-required pressure by the political and economic lobbyist groupings in the West. Whoever wins in India, the US-led West should accept him and her wholeheartedly and the same is true about the next Indian Prime Minister. He and she should not have any grudge against the US and against the rest of the West.
There is no return path available to any Indian government, including those supported by the Left from inside, from the GATT negotiations. The constant prosperity in India is possible with it keeping good relationship with the West. Elitism demands so and since the maximum numbers of supporters of the BJP come from the upper caste, the party would never like to hurt them.
Mr. Modi would
be well advised to rethink about some of the party’s economic
policies and should understand that nationalism cannot replace ground
realities and irreducible variables and parameters. Also, from
practical point of view nationalism cannot overtake economic
selfishness and wish to aspire for more as far as India is concerned
in its present day.