After 70 years of independence and with the advent of internet and mobile phones, Indian voter is much more knowledgeable and expects accountability from his or her elected representative. In the past 70 years history of India, twice the Opposition united against erstwhile Congress governments and won. First such instance was in 1977 and the second in 1989. However, in both cases, there was a strong anti-incumbent undercurrent against Congress. In 1977, it was the Emergency and in 1989, the Bofors scam.
But, what issue exists today, over which the public might be resentful against the Modi government? Last year's demonetisation move by the Modi government was lapped up by the Opposition like a banana from the skies. Sonia Gandhi, the Congress president led a joint Opposition to the President. Mamata Banerjee, the CM of West Bengal and Arvind Kejriwal, the CM of Delhi almost went berserk on demonetisation. However, the people of the country were with Modi. The recent election results of five states are a case in point.
So, if the opposition does form a Mahagathbandhan now, it will be without a cause and is most unlikely to succeed. Besides, a coalition worked out just to defeat Modi in 2019 general elections will have a negative impact which the voters won't accept.
The next big question is, who will be the PM face, in case, a Mahagathbandhan is still formed? The most obvious choice would be Nitish Kumar, but will Mamata Banerjee accept him? Especially, when she herself is so keen for the post and more so after calling Nitish Kumar a traitor during demonetisation days.
Another question is, will Lalu Prasad Yadav accept Nitish Kumar as the PM? He may do so, if one of his sons is made the chief minister of Bihar, but will Nitish Kumar relinquish the post of CM of Bihar to become the PM? Then, the million dollar question is, will Congress accept anybody else except Rahul Gandhi as the PM? There are so many ifs and buts that all this talk of Opposition coming together to form a Mahagathbandhan, currently appears to be a sham or a farce. Even if they manage to come together, what will be the longevity of this Mahagathbandhan, is in itself a tough question!
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