In brief, the US resolution at the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) session in Geneva, has not adopted for any international enquiry into alleged war crimes by the Sri Lankan defence forces in the final phase of the country's civil war with the separatist Tamil Tigers. At the same time, India too is concerned that stronger resolution will anger Sri Lanka and push it deeper into China's sphere of influence. The UN has estimated that some 40,000 people were killed in the final months of the Sri Lankan civil war, while rights groups put the death toll even higher. Sri Lanka denies that its forces killed civilians.
With the DMK pullout, the strength of the UPA has been reduced to 224 members but it enjoyed the support of 281 MPs that included those of outside supporting parties. SP (22) and BSP (21) were among the outside supporters (57) in the House where the magic number for a majority is 272. Though Karunanidhi has ruled out any outside support but the UPA is still hopeful of finding a common ground.
It is an admitted fact, in the political game of vote banks on political rights for Tamils, Karunanidhi is right to be concerned about Sri Lanka but the matter is for Sri Lankans, Sinhala and Tamil to resolve, not for India. The withdrawing of support drama, by the second biggest party in India’s coalition, shaking the UPA of early elections before their scheduled date next year, has cropped up, after six months when Mamata Banerjee severed ties with the UPA while preventing pro-India alignment in Bangladesh on Teesta Water issue.
The political thinkers view pull-out as a blackmailing tactic by the DMK and there is no threat to the Congress government as minority governments have functioned in the past and done very well. In fact, none expected early polls but it would be a tough time for the Congress-led UPA government, which has become ‘United Poor Alliance’ from United Progress Alliance, to walk on the crutches offered by BSP and SP. The Congress must be serious with its allies who can withdraw support at any time, giving a fillip to the early general elections. But will Congress consider, only the time will tell which way the wind blows?