Who will be PM in 2014?

15 December, 2012

Popularity of a few selected politicians is a well-discussed topics all over the world and India is no different in this respect. There are few leaders from different parties whose stature was no doubt bigger than their respective parties - specially Jawaharlal Nehru, Sardar Vallabhbhai patel, Maulana Abul Kalam Azad, Indira Gandhi and Atal Bihari Vajpayee. These were stalwarts in the field of politics and well-respected among masses in their time.

IN INDIA there are two most significant names in politics i.e. Narendra Modi and Rahul Gandhi. The print media and electronic media are discussing a direct battle between these two in the coming general elections in 2014. I am not any one to doubt their credentials like others because I am not supporting any political outfit - so that I have to counter one against the other. Most of the Congress leaders are declaring Rahul Gandhi as a front runner for the prime minister's post whereas leaders of BJP are pitching for Narendra Modi for the same. Let us understand the reality of Indian politics without any prejudices against both the leaders.

Modi is having fan following which nobody can match in the state and that is an utter truth and his detractors should understand this thing. He has won two previous elections, and is presently all set to go for the third term. There is very slight chance of the Congress winning this election in Gujarat. In Gujarat he is the king of this state and nobody can change that without proper proof. If you are attacking Modi and his development model you should come with enough proof to show it otherwise. Otherwise, most of the persons in urban areas are not ready to listen a word against Modi. You like it or not but that's the reality. Whereas in rural areas things are not as good for Modi but it doesn’t mean he doesn't have support base there.

Now look for Rahul Gandhi, he came into politics just because he is from a particular family and I don’t blame him for that. Just like any other Indian he has every right to enter into the political arena. He was the leader of Congress in 2009 general election along with his mother and PM Dr. Manmohan Singh. During that election, the trio hit the right chord, and won good enough seats to form the UPA-II government. But since the inception of UPA-II, the country is facing a number of problems in different areas. He has tried hard to revive the Congress on his own in UP but failed to convert his hard work into seats. Though congress vote share in the UP assembly has increased but increase in seats were not promising enough.

In 2009 general elections, Modi had campaigned in almost 250 rallies and approximately 200-220 rallies had seen participation by Rahul Gandhi throughout India. In this case, Rahul won the battle quite admirably. His party won the election despite on anti-incumbency and Modi failed to prove his charisma in other parts of country.

All of us know that the SP government in UP came to power this time because of Akhilesh Yadav as compared to his father. There are too many poll surveys about who will be the next PM. News channel are saying that Modi, Rahul, Sonia, and Sushma are top choices for the post of PM.

Now consider the verdict of the electorate in 2 different states-

Election of UP and its winner is undoubtedly the present CM of UP. He had support of more than 22million people of the country based on his parties’ share in votes during the poll in 2012.

Election is presently going on in Gujarat and it looks again that Modi is going to be CM for the third time. Consider the following things - Gujarat has almost 37 million voters, and the maximum voter turn out on an average can be 70% - and out of this 70% present, the CM can get maximum share of 50%. Thus, the overall tally of vote share to Modi would be approximately 12 million. Therefore, I think CM of UP is more popular as compared to their counterparts in BJP and Congress right now.

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COMMENTS (3)

Guest

Haider

Dear Narendra and Rohit, That is the difference I am talking between India as a country and a state of a country. Even you people can go through the different data available on the websites of gujarat government and will find that growth is still not even across the section. You people are seeing only greener side of gujarat and not seeing the status of tribal belt and kutch region where a lot of development work still has to be done. No doubt Gujarat growth is last 15 years was very good but it is also true for the country too. What do you think without economic reform of Mr. Manmohan Singh as finance minister such growth was possible in any state? NO, that is an answer you can confirm with any ecocomist.

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vaibhav srivastava

Narendra Modi has prooved himself in Gujrat. With the rise in development, education and decrease in poverty in one state he can surely can change shape of our mother country in a positive manner.

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Rohit Tyagi

we need a strong leader, who has development as his focus and Narendra modi ji has shown by turning around the face of gujarat in last so many years which congress could not do with UP which was their bastion post independence. verdict is loud and clear in the minds of aam admi.

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