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Why BJP did well, Congress performed poorly and AAP is nowhere on exit polls' performance scale
The Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is confident to form the next government with the exit polls projecting a clear cut majority for the alliance in the just concluded Lok Sabha elections. Though BJP could not do well in few states of Southern region but it has done exceptionally well in North Indian states. And the biggest achievement of BJP is in Uttar Pradesh, where it is expected to win 45-55 seats.
The exit polls are suggesting that the BJP is set to show its best ever performance whereas the Congress will be giving its worst ever performance, with a count of less than 100 seats. And the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), that performed extremely well in its maiden elections in Delhi is no where in the pictures despite fielding 430 candidates in the polls.

Though the authenticity of exit polls will only be clear after the actual results on May 16, the figures have given a reason to explore the reasons behind the success of BJP and the failure of the Congress and the AAP.

Political analysts, we spoke to are saying that it is the mis-governance of the Congress-led UPA and the BJP's smart way of campaigning, that regime is likely to be changed at 7,RCR.

Sanjay Kumar, Director of CSDS while highlighting the major flaws in the Congress party said, "One big reason is the mis-governance of the Congress-led UPA government since last three years. Mis-governance includes the large number of scams, price rise, lack of motivating leadership etc. All these have contributed in the rise of huge dissatisfaction against the Congress. So, there was a vacuum, and as soon as Modi was projected as a prime ministerial candidate, it all worked in the favour of BJP. As Modi was the prime ministerial candidate, it was an added attraction, as he is promising to bring changes in the country."

Commenting on AAP's poor performance he said, "AAP had made a huge mistake, by quitting the government in Delhi. It created a 'bhagoda' image for the AAP, a party which ran away from the responsibility. And the other reason is that a large section of people believe that they fooled the people in Delhi. They were not interested in winning the Delhi elections, and they only used it as a platform to contest the Lok Sabha elections. This went against Kejriwal."

Purushottam Aggarwal, a political analyst and a visiting senior fellow at CSDSfeels that AAP, which has made its debut in Lok Sabha elections has done a purely fair job, "Coming to AAP, which is just 18 months old party getting 3.5-4 per cent vote share is partly a good performance."

Few political analysts like who do not take exit polls seriously, as it has failed on many occasions in the past are of the view that final results should be waited for before coming to any conclusion.

"Its not a result, its just exit poll. It is true that UPA government has become weak and the BJP government has became strong, as exit polls gives the indication. But still this is not the final result," said Arvind Mohan, a political analyst.

On the accuracy of the exit polls for the Lok Sabha 2014, Purushottam Aggarwal has to say this "The exit polls (for the are not that off the mark. But, as the Congress does not have a good leadership and Rahul Gandhi is completely failed as a leader, all these reasons might may make the exit polls right this time."

Arvind Mohan has also termed the elections this time as a 'two party system approach' and says that, "This is a new change, which is showing a two party system approach, which is followed in America and other Western countries. If Modi or BJP wins the elections this time, then this system is also going to win."



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