Will the Indian state survive beyond, at least until, 2060?
ROUGHLY A third of the land mass that is supposed to be in the control of the government of India has slipped out of its control. The writ of the civil administration does not run among the population in these vast chunks of territory.
ROUGHLY A third of the land mass that is supposed to be in the control of the government of India has slipped out of its control. The writ of the civil administration does not run among the population in these vast chunks of territory. Pillai revealed that Maoist outfits hold sway over vast swathes. Speaking at seminar on “Left wing extremism in India” organized by the Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses, he said that the government has decided to reassert the authority of the civil administration in these rebel strongholds. Pillai, however, admitted: “There is a vacuum in governance. It's a slow process, there are lots of problems and the causes are many.” Building up the capacities of police forces in the six “Maoist affected states” is vital to tackle the danger to the Indian state from within, he said.
The terms ‘Maoists’ or ‘Naxalites’ have become ubiquitous in corridors of power and in the Indian media. Anyone who despises the all-pervasive corruption in the country and challenges lop-sided development policies is branded as a left-wing extremist. These policies have created islands of prosperity amongst increasing misery of the masses.
The Home ministry does not see any chance of significant success in reducing the influence of ‘Maoists’ for its Operation Green Hunt for at least 2-3 years. Pillai predicted that even after that, it will “probably take another 7-10 years before we take complete control of civil administration.” He said stamping out the Maoist threat is going to be a "long bloody war" because the armed rebel cadres were very highly motivated and trained. He noted that capacities of the state police forces were limited at the moment to take on the challenge.
Pillai informed the audience that a detailed analysis of militant operations brought forth their military precision, which hinted at “help from some ex-Army or ex-paramilitary personnel.” If the bureaucrat is to be believed, Maoists are virtually building an army to overthrow the state of India. This was evident, he said, from their lethal use of improvised explosive device (IEDs), precise and pinpointed intelligence-based attacks on vulnerable posts and security camps and their practice of swift retreat after attacks with arms looted from the security forces.
Pillai’s analysis was based on some booklets circulated in these states, which he obviously believes as plausible. “The overthrow of the Indian state is not something they (Maoists) are willing to do tomorrow or the day after. Their strategy is that they are looking (to overthrow the government) in 2050...some documents say, in 2060,” he said. The Home Secretary sounded an ominous warning: “We have a long bloody war ahead. It is going to be a long haul and I see violence going to go up. We do not have the forces to move into the areas where they (Maoists) are positioned.”
The government’s assessment of the extent of its failure in being a trustworthy state, indeed, appears to be borne out by facts. However, the warped mindset of the policy formulators can hardly be missed. The prescription proposed by him is to enhance capacities of police forces to deal a crushing blow to the rebels. Indian rulers do not realize that a country that engages in a “long bloody war" and wants to ‘stamp out’ its own rebellious masses cannot last for long.
Pillai’s prescription is predestined to be a non-starter because his ‘enemies’ are engaged in life-and-death struggle to fight exploitation of the masses by manipulative parasites. The reference made by the bureaucrat to ex-Army or ex-paramilitary personnel is particularly disturbing. It indicates that the rulers bracket those who are frustrated and ashamed at having dedicated their entire lifetime to protect them among left-wing extremists to be crushed.
In the final analysis, New Delhi seems rather too optimistic and seems to think that the 'Indian system' will survive the risk of being thrown away till 2050 or 2060! However, it admits that large chunks of the area have admittedly gone out of the control of the current 'system' in 60 years. That the rulers estimate that it will take 7-10 years to take them back only demonstrates that the country is poised to become a failed state, unless the ‘Indian system’ undergoes drastic change.
The government has confessed that there is a vacuum in governance. Unfortunately, it fails to reckon the cause of the vacuum – the fanatical stress on ‘development' that benefits only parasitic elements and stokes their euphoria. The model has only led to explosion of corruption and widened the living standard gap – between the bottom 10% and the top 10% consisting mainly government staff and those who do not contribute to wealth creation. But, the media controlled by tycoons has been singing the praise of crorepatis in the fastest growing mega economies of the world. If this type of 'development' is continued for much longer, the remaining areas too may slip out of the dispensation in 7-10 years.
The term ‘Maoist’ to describe revolutionaries challenging the establishment has its origin in China. The hotch potch government implanted by colonists in that country too dubbed peoples’ movements ‘Maoist menace’. The Peoples’ Liberation Army, inspired by Mao Zedong to eradicate exploitation by corrupt bosses, drove out the exploitative leaders to the enclave of Taiwan despite the most ardent support they enjoyed with US and Western nations.
It is worth recalling that that China was much worse off than India at the end of colonial era. It can boast of 3 times per-capita income of India within 60 years. That too is with far more equitable distribution among the people. No wonder, China enjoys far more clout in the world on most issues than India and no major decision can be taken without its consent.
There are several lessons for Indian rulers from the Chinese experience. The most important one is that the PRC regime never clamoured for a role in international affairs until it could address the plight of its ‘poorest of the poor’ by exposing and punishing parasites in the society.
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.O ho a wonderful article a factual revelations much much better than what I wrote. The main reason of today’s multitude of exploitation lies in the core of our independence. We were given independence not that we acquired it. British were clever in judgment. Gandhiji's mass movement was at the baby stage when The shroud British have away independence. It was only a fraction of the entire mass took participation and was awakening. A delay of another generation was required. Precisely this is what is going to happen. This time entire nation will get engaged in the struggle of another independence will fight against no foreign power but their own self a process of self cleaning. This India I feel Sri Aurobindo had visualized long before we could feel it.
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