What would happen if Taliban were to take over Afghanistan in the wake of NATO withdrawal from that country
US with the help of NATO troops had overthrown Taliban regime in Afghanistan in 2001. Now, these troops are withdrawing from Afghanistan by 2014. Thus a gap would be left in Afghanistan which the Afghan Army would not be able to fill up and although people are defying the diktat of the Taliban and voting in large numbers for the Presidential elections being held today, the Taliban forces fighting the NATO troops all along may take over Afghanistan with or without Pakistan's help.
There are Taliban in Pakistan also and they would surely help Afghani Taliban. Now these Taliban in both Afghanistan and Pakistan are being helped by Wahabi elements in Saudi Arabia who are supported by the ruling House of Saud. These people interpret the Holy Quran in a very rigid and narrow manner and indulge in sectarian violence and killing of minorities much against the following instructions given in the Holy Quran:
"The following verse of the Holy Quran forbids unrighteous oppression: Say (O Muhammad ): (But) the things that my Lord has indeed forbidden are Al-Fawahish (great evil sins, every kind of unlawful sexual intercourse, etc.) whether committed openly or secretly, sins (of all kinds), unrighteous oppression, joining partners (in worship) with Allah for which He has given no authority, and saying things about Allah of which you have no knowledge." (Qurâ??an 7.33) The following verse of the Holy Quran clearly states that nobody should be killed whom Allah has forbidden, except for a just cause: Say (O Muhammad): Come, I will recite what your Lord has prohibited you from: Join not anything in worship with Him; be good and dutiful to your parents; kill not your children because of poverty - We provide sustenance for you and for them; come not near to Al-Fawahish (shameful sins, illegal sexual intercourse, etc.) whether committed openly or secretly, and kill not anyone whom Allah has forbidden, except for a just cause (according to Islamic law). This He has commanded you that you may understand. Quran 6.151) The following verse of the Holy Quran asks the Muslims to grant protection to polytheists, idolaters, pagans and disbelievers in the oneness of Allah: And if anyone of the Mushrikun (polytheists, idolaters, pagans, disbelievers in the Oneness of Allah) seeks your protection then grant him protection, so that he may hear the Word of Allah (the Qur'an), and then escort him to where he can be secure, that is because they are men who know not. (Quran 9.6) The following verse from the Holy Quran forbids Muslims to help one another in sin and transgression: O you, who believe! Violate not the sanctity of the symbols of Allah, nor of the sacred month, nor of the animals brought for sacrifice, nor the garlanded people or animals, etc. [Marked by the garlands on their necks made from the outer part of the tree-stems (of Makkah) for their security], nor the people coming to the Sacred House (Makkah), seeking the bounty and good pleasure of their Lord. But when you finish the Ihram (of Hajj or 'Umrah), you may hunt, and let not the hatred of some people in (once) stopping you from Al-Masjid-al-Haram (at Makkah) lead you to transgression (and hostility on your part). Help you one another in Al-Birr and At-Taqwa (virtue, righteousness and piety); but do not help one another in sin and transgression. And fear Allah. Verily, Allah is Severe in punishment. (Quran 5.2) The following verses narrate the story of the two sons of Adam, Abel and Cain. Cain killed his brother and became one of the losers: And (O Muhammad) recite to them (the Jews) the story of the two sons of Adam [Habil (Abel) and Qabil (Cain)] in truth; when each offered a sacrifice (to Allah), it was accepted from the one but not from the other. The latter said to the former: "I will surely kill you." The former said: "Verily, Allah accepts only from those who are Al-Muttaqun (the pious) (Quran 5.27) "If you do stretch your hand against me to kill me, I shall never stretch my hand against you to kill you, for I fear Allah; the Lord of the 'Aaâ??lameen (mankind, jinns, and all that exists)." (Quran 5.28) "Verily, I intend to let you draw my sin on yourself as well as yours, then you will be one of the dwellers of the Fire, and that is the recompense of the Zalimun (polytheists and wrong-doers)." (Quran 5.29) So the Nafs (self) of the other (latter one) encouraged him and made fair-seeming to him the murder of his brother; he murdered him and became one of the losers. (Quran 5.30) The following verse clearly states that if anyone killed a person not in retaliation of murder, or (and) to spread mischief in land, it would be as if he killed all mankind, and if anyone saved a life, it would be as if he has saved the life of all mankind: Because of that We ordained for the Children of Israel that if anyone killed a person not in retaliation of murder, or (and) to spread mischief in the land - it would be as if he killed all mankind, and if anyone saved a life, it would be as if he saved the life of all mankind. And indeed, there came to them Our Messengers with clear proofs, evidences, and signs, even then after that many of them continued to exceed the limits (e.g. by doing oppression unjustly and exceeding beyond the limits set by Allah by committing the major sins) in the land! (Quran 5.32)."
Now what would happen if Taliban were to take over Afghanistan in the wake of NATO withdrawal from that country. Both Pakistan and India would be most affected by this development. The Taliban forces which are fighting NATO troops, would get relieved and would attack both Pakistan and the Jammu and Kashmir State of India. So, India would have to take precautionary measures. It cannot directly intervene in Afghanistan. That is out of question but it can surely build up and strengthen its defences in Jammu and Kashmir. Meanwhile Pakistan may also like to intervene in Afghanistan with the help of China because Afghanistan has enormous mineral wealth and oil plus it is a clandestine market for drugs like heroin and illegal arms and ammunition. In that case, again India cannot intervene militarily in Afghanistan but would have to strengthen its defences against possible attack on Jammu and Kashmir state.